Thread Guy - Buzzberg

Date	Ticker	Direction	Thesis	Source
Feb 18, 2026	INDUSTRIALS /RTX /DEFENSE SECTOR	LONG	The speaker points out that "out of 100 things made in the military, there's like 80 that the process is traced back to China" and cites Raytheon (RTX) admitting the US cannot decouple from China. The "Bits to Atoms" thesis implies that the last 30 years of software prosperity masked a hollowing out of US industrial capacity. To compete with China, the US must aggressively re-industrialize and secure military supply chains, leading to massive capex in domestic defense and manufacturing. LONG US Defense and Industrials as the beneficiaries of the forced "re-onshoring" and "Bits to Atoms" transition. Supply chain shocks if China cuts off exports before the US can rebuild capacity.	Thread Guy It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing.....
Feb 18, 2026	CHINESE AI /TCEHY /BYDDY	LONG	The speaker notes that "4 out of the top 5 AI models by global usage are Chinese," BYD sold 50% more EVs than Tesla, and Chinese consumer apps (TikTok, games) dominate culture. The market consensus is that China merely "steals" IP, but the data shows genuine technical breakthroughs and superior unit economics (Minimax is 20x cheaper than US counterparts). As China dominates both "Atoms" (manufacturing) and "Bits" (AI/Apps), their equity valuations are disconnected from their actual dominance. LONG Chinese tech and manufacturing leaders as they capture global market share in EVs, AI, and culture ("Chinamaxxing"). Geopolitical sanctions; US trade barriers blocking Chinese products.	Thread Guy It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing.....
Feb 18, 2026	GOOGL /ORCL /MSFT /AI INFRASTRUCTURE	LONG	The speaker highlights a clip where the OpenAI CFO suggests a "government backstop" is needed for their trillion-dollar spending commitments, and explicitly states, "The United States government... is going to categorize AI as a military proxy... and throw infinite money at compute." If the US views AI as a Cold War-style arms race, fiscal constraints on AI spending will vanish. The government will subsidize the "ecosystem of banks" and tech giants to ensure the US reaches AGI first. This guarantees revenue for the infrastructure providers and model builders regardless of immediate commercial viability. LONG US AI infrastructure and Hyperscalers as beneficiaries of unlimited government defense spending. Political gridlock preventing subsidies; US actually losing the technical race despite spending.	Thread Guy It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing.....
Feb 18, 2026	PRIVACY INFRASTRUCTURE	LONG	The speaker emphasizes that "you don't know if the tweet was written by the person... or if the person you're talking to is alive." As the "Dead Internet Theory" becomes reality and AI impersonation becomes perfect, the premium on verifying human identity and authenticating content provenance skyrockets. Technologies that prove "personhood" or secure digital identity become the only defense against AI noise. Long the infrastructure required to solve the problem of digital trust that Meta is exacerbating. Adoption of privacy/verification tech lags behind the spread of AI fakes.	Thread Guy AI is Replacing Dead People & Nobody is Notic...
Feb 18, 2026	META	WATCH	Meta announced/patented an AI capable of taking over deceased users' accounts to continue posting, messaging, and video calling based on historical data. While this theoretically creates "infinite retention" (users never leave the platform), the speaker argues the implications are "terrifying" and likely to be used for "harm, crime, and to cover up crime." This introduces significant reputational, ethical, and potentially legal risks for the platform as it navigates the "uncanny valley." Watch for regulatory backlash or user distrust as the "Dead Internet" reality becomes a mainstream product feature. The market may view this purely as a bullish engagement tool, ignoring the moral hazard.	Thread Guy AI is Replacing Dead People & Nobody is Notic...
Feb 18, 2026	AI SECTOR	WATCH	AI video and text generation has become so advanced that "you can't tell" if a video is fake or if a person is real (citing a viral Stranger Things AI video). The technology has surpassed the threshold of human discernment. We are entering a phase where "you don't know if what you saw on social media is real" or if the person on the phone is alive. This creates a volatile environment for the sector regarding trust and safety. While capabilities are bullish for tech adoption, the "dark underlying belly" (deepfakes, fraud, impersonation) suggests looming crises that could trigger harsh regulations. Tech advancement continues to outpace regulation, driving stock prices higher despite societal risks.	Thread Guy AI is Replacing Dead People & Nobody is Notic...
Feb 17, 2026	ENERGY /COMPUTE	LONG	"Anything energy compute bottleneck I think goes up only forever." The US government's commitment to winning the AI race requires massive physical infrastructure build-outs. The bottleneck is no longer code, but the electricity and processing power required to run the models. Long the infrastructure layer supporting AI. Regulatory hurdles for new energy projects or hardware supply chain disruptions.	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	CHINESE MEDIA & GAMING SECTOR /CHINESE AI	AVOID	"Buying Chinese stocks... they're almost impossible to invest in because China does these like state-owned... companies... you get destroyed as an investor." Despite the host's bullishness on China's economic performance (EVs, AI models, consumer tech), the structure of the Chinese market and CCP intervention makes the equities "uninvestable" for Western speculators. Avoid direct exposure despite the "China Maxing" macro thesis. Missing out if China opens markets or sentiment shifts drastically.	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	PLTR	LONG	"I really like the Palantir trade... US defense that also is an AI proxy... the government is spending more money in the military and they're spending more money on AI." The host argues the AI race is a "national security risk." Consequently, the US government has "no choice" but to provide infinite funding and backstops to AI development. Palantir sits at the exact intersection of AI software and government/defense contracts, making it the primary beneficiary of this forced spending. Long as a proxy for the "AI Arms Race" and government subsidization. Valuation concerns (mentioned as trading at "200 PE").	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	CRITICAL MINERALS /AI / ROBOTICS / RARE EARTHS	LONG	"Long rare earth metals is a really good one... China's critical mineral control, sheer dominance... The US can't produce any." China controls the supply chain for the physical materials needed to build chips and defense tech. If geopolitical tensions rise, China could restrict exports (as they have threatened), causing a supply squeeze. The US must desperately invest in securing these "Atoms" to compete. Long as a hedge against Chinese supply dominance and a play on the "Bits to Atoms" thesis. Geopolitical de-escalation or new supply chains coming online slowly.	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	GOLD /BTC	LONG	"Long gold as a proxy for atoms, as a proxy for physical goods... I still stand by long Bitcoin as a mega trend." As AI models become open-source and cheap ("Bits are free"), the economic moat of pure software erodes. Value transfers to scarce, hard assets (Gold) and digital scarcity (Bitcoin) that cannot be commoditized by AI. Long as the ultimate "Mega Trend" hedge against software commoditization and fiat debasement. Regulatory crackdowns or shifts in macro liquidity.	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	WLD	LONG	"Meta has patented an AI that can keep a deceased person's account active... You don't know if the person you're talking to is alive... Maybe it's Worldcoin. Proof of humanity." As AI creates perfect deepfakes and "dead internet" scenarios, the ability to verify human identity becomes the most valuable commodity. Despite the host calling the project a "piece of [__]," he acknowledges it is the "trade" for this specific dystopian problem. Long as a speculative play on "Proof of Humanity" amidst AI proliferation. Privacy concerns and regulatory pushback against biometric scanning.	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	AAPL	LONG	"The other one we've been playing with a lot is Apple. Apple is a really fun one." While not fully expanded upon in this specific transcript, it is flagged as a key component of the "Mega Trend" portfolio alongside Bitcoin and Defense, likely due to its hardware/consumer distribution dominance in an AI world. Long (details to be expanded in future streams). China exposure (supply chain and consumer market).	Thread Guy China is DOMINATING the US in EVERY statistic...
Feb 17, 2026	NVDA /AI HARDWARE /COMPUTE	LONG	"Compute is just going to be the most in demand vertical forever for the end of time. You will never be able to get enough of it forever to run this [__] forever." If 100% of code is written by AI, the constraint on software creation is no longer human labor but the processing power required to run the models (Opus 4.6/Codex). Demand for chips and data centers will become infinite as software production becomes frictionless. LONG the infrastructure and hardware powering the AI transition. Supply chain constraints or energy limitations preventing the scaling of compute.	Thread Guy Why AI Is Taking Over ALL Coding Jobs.....
Feb 17, 2026	SAAS SECTOR /LEGACY SAAS	SHORT	"The market is absolutely priced in. SAS is in shambles. The market is absolutely not priced in. Code is a commodity." Traditional SaaS companies rely on the moat of proprietary code and high development costs. If AI allows anyone to generate enterprise-grade software instantly ("100% of code... written by AI"), the pricing power and moats of legacy software companies collapse. SHORT or AVOID traditional software companies whose value proposition is based on code scarcity. Regulatory capture or data moats protecting incumbents despite the commoditization of code.	Thread Guy Why AI Is Taking Over ALL Coding Jobs.....
Feb 17, 2026	US EQUITIES	LONG	"I at this moment have zero stock exposure... And we are about to change that brother... what's going to come out of this to me feels like deep deep deep prosperity... It is the absolute unequivocable roaring 20s." The speaker believes the productivity gains from AI (billion-dollar exits by single individuals in 60 days) will trigger a massive economic boom. He is explicitly pivoting from cash to equities to capture this "renaissance." LONG the broader market to capture the economic expansion driven by AI productivity. Short-term market volatility or a "sell the news" event if the productivity gains take longer to materialize in GDP.	Thread Guy Why AI Is Taking Over ALL Coding Jobs.....
Feb 17, 2026	HOOD /COIN /DKNG /CRYPTO MARKET	LONG	"The terminally online screen generation inherently just wants to gamble... Everyone's dopamine receptors are fried... If they can't get the edge in stock market, they'll go to crypto. If they can't get the edge in crypto, they'll go to sports betting." The demand for speculation is inelastic and growing generationally. "Shorting degeneracy" is a losing bet. Therefore, the platforms that facilitate this risk-taking (Robinhood, Coinbase, Sports Betting apps) will see perpetual volume growth regardless of asset quality. LONG the "Casinos" of the digital economy. Regulatory crackdowns on retail speculation or gambling addiction measures.	Thread Guy The Logan Paul Situation is INSANE.....
Feb 17, 2026	ROBOTICS /AI SECTOR	LONG	"China has unveiled its latest humanoid robot AGI bot... It looks better than what we just watched... It feels like robotics is going to be one of those things that [__] comes out of literal nowhere and hits us like a truck." The market is currently fixated on software AI (LLMs), but physical AI (humanoids) is reaching a tipping point of realism. The shock value of seeing functional humanoids will trigger a massive capital rotation into robotics hardware. LONG Robotics as the next phase of the AI trade. High R&D costs and slower-than-expected commercial deployment compared to software.	Thread Guy The Logan Paul Situation is INSANE.....
Feb 17, 2026	POLYMARKET	LONG	"There is no way Logan Paul and Golden Auctions... are going to list this thing for sale and not crime it into an all-time high sale... I like trading on sus." In "event markets" (prediction markets), outcomes involving high-profile influencers or PR stunts are often manipulated or incentivized to hit specific targets (e.g., record-breaking prices). Identifying these "sus" (suspicious/rigged) setups offers high-probability asymmetric returns. LONG Prediction Markets (Strategy call). Platform insolvency or "resolution" disputes where the house rules against the obvious outcome.	Thread Guy The Logan Paul Situation is INSANE.....
Feb 17, 2026	MSFT /OPENAI	LONG	"Open Claw corporate plan... That's a trillion dollar market opportunity... businesses can use it and it's going to go [__] vertical." OpenAI (and by proxy, Microsoft) is moving to capture the enterprise market by integrating secure, agentic workflows directly into business operations (Slack, company flow). This creates a massive new revenue stream as every white-collar job incorporates these tools. LONG. Enterprise security breaches leading to bans on AI agents in corporate environments.	Thread Guy This OpenAI Acquisition Changes Everything.....
Feb 17, 2026	SEMICONDUCTORS /COMPUTE /AI INFRASTRUCTURE	LONG	"Demand for compute is just the most up only J curve of all time. It might never stop... Whether you're being useful or not... You're burning the same [__] compute." The utility of the output doesn't matter for the hardware provider. HFTs, startups, and enterprises are "cooking tokens" at an exponential rate. This indiscriminate consumption ensures sustained, compounding revenue for the underlying infrastructure and chip providers. LONG. Physical power constraints (electricity) or a sudden burst in the AI valuation bubble.	Thread Guy This OpenAI Acquisition Changes Everything.....
Feb 17, 2026	AAPL	LONG	"Apple releases 1 TBTE Mac Studio M5 Ultra... I love Apple right now... Mac Minis are going to take over the world." As open-source models (like the hypothetical "Open Claw" foundation model) become more powerful, they require massive local memory (RAM) to run efficiently. Apple is uniquely positioned with its Silicon architecture to provide the high-end consumer hardware ("shovels") needed for this local AI inference boom. LONG. Apple fails to release high-memory consumer hardware; inference moves entirely to the cloud rather than local devices.	Thread Guy This OpenAI Acquisition Changes Everything.....
Feb 17, 2026	AI AGENTS	LONG	"Open Claw is the first single person unicorn ever... This is a really big deal and it has pretty intense ramifications... for why I think this whole bubble is going to get crazier." The acquisition of a small, agent-focused team by OpenAI validates the "Agentic" thesis. This will trigger a speculative mania in assets and companies focused on autonomous AI agents, as the market realizes a single person can now generate unicorn-level output. LONG. Regulatory crackdowns on autonomous agents; security risks (API leakage) causing corporate hesitation.	Thread Guy This OpenAI Acquisition Changes Everything.....
Feb 16, 2026	HIMS	LONG	"The obvious take is him looks maxing people want to look good long hymns." If the cultural zeitgeist is shifting towards "looks-maxing" (men improving physical appearance/health), Hims & Hers is the direct infrastructure provider for hair loss, skin care, and weight loss products (GLP-1s). LONG HIMS as a direct beneficiary of the male self-improvement trend. Regulatory crackdowns on telehealth or compounded GLP-1s.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	BTC	LONG	"Why buy stocks at highs when Bitcoin's 40% discount? 90% of my net in Bitcoin." Despite the AI boom, Bitcoin remains the speaker's primary store of value. The implication is that AI-generated wealth will eventually seek hard assets, and BTC is currently undervalued relative to the AI equity bubble. LONG BTC as the base layer asset. Regulatory shifts or liquidity draining entirely into AI equities.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	AI INFRASTRUCTURE /COMPUTE	LONG	"All compute cost explode... demand for compute is just the most upon onlyly JC curve of all time." If 100% of code is now written by AI (as claimed by TG's sources), the volume of software being created will explode exponentially. This software requires agents to run, and agents require massive compute. The demand for tokens and processing power is effectively infinite. LONG the entire compute stack (Hardware, Chips, Energy). Physical constraints on energy or chip manufacturing capacity.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	PLTR	LONG	"This is a military weapon... This is going to be infinitely funded and subsidized... I really like Palanteer right now." The revelation that AI (Claude) was used kinetically to capture a world leader (Maduro) proves AI is critical military infrastructure. While Anthropic hesitates on ethics, Palantir is the unapologetic operating system for Western defense. The US government will funnel infinite liquidity into military-grade AI. LONG PLTR as the primary proxy for the "AI as a Weapon" thesis. Ethical backlash or loss of government contracts to competitors like OpenAI/Microsoft.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	AAPL	LONG	"Apple releases one terabyte Mac Studio M5 Ultra... Mac minis are going to [__] take over the world... Apple is just going to launch the iPhone 18 with corporate enterprise open claw integrated into it." As LLMs become commodities, the value shifts to the hardware that runs them. Specifically, there is a massive demand for "local compute" to run private agents (like OpenClaw) without data leakage. Apple's high-memory silicon (M-series) is the only consumer hardware capable of this. LONG AAPL as the winner of "Bits to Atoms"—owning the hardware distribution for the AI agent revolution. Apple fails to integrate open-source models effectively or lags in AI software capability.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	MTCH	SHORT	"The look maxing wave isn't a beauty trend. It's a masculinity reformation... MTCH owns Tinder, the literal symbol of what this culture rejects." The younger generation views dating apps as "cringe" or a sign of failure ("if you need an app, you haven't leveled up"). The cultural trend is shifting from passive swiping to active self-improvement. This demographic shift will crush user growth for Tinder. SHORT Match Group as the primary vehicle for the decline of dating app culture. Tinder successfully pivots to AI features or the "looks-maxing" trend proves transient.	Thread Guy LIVE: OPENAI BOUGHT OPENCLAW! ANTHROPIC IS CO...
Feb 16, 2026	CRYPTO MARKET /AI SECTOR /MEMECOINS	LONG	The speaker states, "If we want to be bleeding edge on what's happening in AI and speculative entertainment speculative finance... we have to spend an increasingly large amount of time with said things." He concludes, "I want to fully commit to the flow." The "Flow" represents the concentration of liquidity, attention, and alpha in the fastest-moving sectors (specifically identified as AI and Crypto/Speculative Entertainment). To "commit" to the flow is to be directionally long these high-beta asset classes. The speaker argues that "tourists" (partial participants) will fail, while those who "submit" to the speed of these markets will be rewarded. LONG the most speculative, high-attention sectors (AI and Crypto) as the speaker commits to "riding" the volatility. "AI psychosis," mental burnout, and the potential for the "flow" to "gently return you to pedestrian life" (total loss of capital) if habits cannot be maintained.	Thread Guy Why Being Chronically Online Is Now a Cheat C...
Feb 14, 2026	NVDA /GOOG /MAG-7	LONG	"The other side of that barbell for where we are right now is Google and Nvidia and these [__] cash cow behemoths that are printing... Nvidia right now is trading at 46x. Cisco [in 2000] was trading at 150x PE." The "AI Bubble" narrative is mathematically flawed when comparing P/E ratios to the Dotcom era. Unlike the speculative mania of 2000 (companies with no product/revenue), the current AI infrastructure leaders have "infinite money" and real earnings support. The market is not as expensive as sentiment suggests. LONG. The fundamentals of the leaders justify the price action compared to historical bubbles. Concentration risk; if one of the few leaders falters, it could drag the whole index down.	Thread Guy Why The AI Boom Might Be A Bubble?...
Feb 14, 2026	QQQ	LONG	"In 2001... NASDAQ was trading at 103 PE... NASDAQ in February 2026 is trading at 24.8x PE. And so the entire NASDAQ could do a 4x right now with zero revenue growth... and it would still be lower than the mania we were at in 2001." The broad tech index is statistically cheap relative to the previous major tech bubble. The "top" is likely much higher if history (2000 mania) is the benchmark for irrational exuberance. LONG. The ceiling for valuation expansion is significantly higher than current levels. Macroeconomic shifts (rates) that compress P/E multiples regardless of historical comparisons.	Thread Guy Why The AI Boom Might Be A Bubble?...
Feb 14, 2026	CRYPTO X AI /AI AGENTS	LONG	"For the game that we play... particularly at the intersection of crypto and AI... That time for us is different... Are there going to be more or less AI experiments that are getting deployed on Twitter? And the answer is obviously undeniably more." This specific sub-sector (On-chain AI, Agents) is viewed as decoupled from the macro cycle. Even if the "Majors" (NVDA, SPY) drop 10-30%, the innovation rate and deployment of AI agents on-chain will increase, creating a sector-specific bull market independent of traditional equities. LONG. Bet on the volume of experiments and adoption in the Crypto/AI niche. Regulatory crackdowns or a total liquidity dry-up in the crypto market.	Thread Guy Why The AI Boom Might Be A Bubble?...
Feb 14, 2026	LEGACY SAAS	AVOID	"Steve Woo from Bloomberg comes on stream and says, 'SAS companies aren't dead'... And I ask him, 'Steve, have you ever used OpenClaw?' And he's like, 'No... Why would I do that?'... You're a step behind." Traditional SaaS and the analysts defending it are failing to adapt to the new "Agentic" workflow (AI doing the work vs. humans using software). If the "smart money" (Bloomberg analysts/MDs) isn't using the new tools, they are mispricing the disruption risk to legacy "System of Record" companies. AVOID. Prefer the disruptors (AI Agents) over the disrupted (Legacy SaaS). Enterprise adoption of AI agents may be slower than expected (as noted by the PE MD anecdote in the transcript), keeping Legacy SaaS sticky for longer.	Thread Guy Why The AI Boom Might Be A Bubble?...
Feb 13, 2026	MU /WDC /NVDA /AI / ROBOTICS / RARE EARTHS /CRITICAL MINERALS	LONG	Thread Guy cites Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's prediction that AI revenue could hit $1 trillion by 2030 (up from ~$14B currently). If software revenue scales to $1 trillion, the physical infrastructure required to support it must grow exponentially. This is the "Bits to Atoms" trade: longing the hardware, memory, and raw materials that exist now to power the future. LONG the "picks and shovels" of AI: Compute (NVDA), Memory (MU, WDC), and the raw materials (Rare Earths). AI scaling laws hit a wall; over-investment in capex leads to a bubble burst before revenue materializes.	Thread Guy The Bear Market is OVER. Stocks are about to ...
Feb 13, 2026	BASE ECOSYSTEM	LONG	"Interestingly, the agents have chosen Base... It kind of feels like banker [Base] is just going to win if agents keep going the way that they are right now." While Thread Guy criticizes Coinbase's marketing, he acknowledges that the actual on-chain activity for the emerging "AI Agent" meta is consolidating on Base. LONG the Base ecosystem (proxies/memecoins) as the home of AI agents. Agents migrate to Solana or another high-throughput chain; Coinbase regulatory issues.	Thread Guy The Bear Market is OVER. Stocks are about to ...
Feb 13, 2026	COIN	WATCH	Thread Guy criticizes Coinbase for posting "Subway Surfers" memes during earnings while missing revenue targets, stating, "The people that are moving size want adults... I don't want the company that I'm relying on to secure my money trolling from the main account." There is a disconnect between Coinbase's "meme" marketing strategy and their core business of institutional custody. While the stock is up, the lack of "adults in the room" behavior is a red flag for serious capital. WATCH. The business is essential (Custody), but the leadership's public facing strategy is signaling a "top" in seriousness. Institutional clients lose trust due to lack of professionalism.	Thread Guy The Bear Market is OVER. Stocks are about to ...
Feb 13, 2026	BTC	LONG	"Bitcoin's at 69K... the weekly doesn't look that bad... surprisingly optimistic around the horn here." Despite a "spiritual wipe" of tourists in the market, the structural price action and sentiment among serious participants remain strong. LONG BTC as the market stabilizes. Macro liquidity shocks or regulatory headwinds.	Thread Guy The Bear Market is OVER. Stocks are about to ...
Feb 13, 2026	TSM /SEMICONDUCTORS	LONG	Thread Guy notes the "Bits to Atoms" narrative is the dominant theme, with TSM's chart described as "hyperbullish up only." The Giver agrees, citing Trump's focus on US self-sufficiency and reducing reliance on Chinese supply chains. The "Trump Trade" in 2026 isn't just about lower taxes; it's about physical sovereignty. This requires massive capex in domestic and friendly-nation manufacturing (semiconductors) and critical inputs. TSM is the "Atom" enabling the "Bit" (AI). Long the physical infrastructure of the digital economy. Geopolitical conflict involving Taiwan; tariffs disrupting global trade flows.	Thread Guy We Predicted Crypto's FUTURE in 2026 (The Giv...
Feb 11, 2026	BASE ECOSYSTEM /STABLECOINS /COIN	LONG	Stripe announced payments on Base for AI agents; Coinbase launched "Agentic Wallet" allowing bots to hold identity and transact without humans. The crypto industry is pivoting from "human users" to "agent users." As AI agents (like OpenClaw) proliferate, they require permissionless, 24/7 payment rails. This creates a massive new Total Addressable Market (TAM) for the infrastructure providers (Coinbase/Base) that service these machine-to-machine transactions. Crypto gets "bailed out" by the AI boom. Long the infrastructure facilitating agent payments. AI developers bypass crypto rails for traditional fintech solutions if regulation stifles adoption.	Thread Guy The Financial Market Is About To Change FOREV...
Feb 11, 2026	UNI	WATCH	BlackRock announced buying Uniswap (the token and equity) in this timeline. The price pumped 40% and then immediately retraced. Even the most bullish news possible (BlackRock adoption) is failing to sustain price action in "legacy" DeFi tokens. This indicates extreme market exhaustion and a lack of new liquidity entering these specific assets. Watch for a trend change, but currently, the market is fading even high-quality news events. Regulatory clarity allows a fee-switch or institutional integration that drives sustained value accrual.	Thread Guy The Financial Market Is About To Change FOREV...
Feb 10, 2026	AMZN /PLTR /NVDA /GOOG /MSFT	LONG	The speaker compares the current AI market to the Dot-com bubble. He points out that in 2000, the NASDAQ traded at a 100x PE ratio with unprofitable companies (Pets.com), whereas today it trades at ~25x PE with massive profitability from hyperscalers. He explicitly states, "We have a lot higher to go." The fear of an "AI Bubble" is premature based on historical valuation metrics. The infrastructure build-out is still in the "David Letterman/Bill Gates" phase (early skepticism) rather than the "Steve Ballmer" phase (peak euphoria). Consequently, the leaders in this sector have significant upside remaining before reaching mania levels. LONG. The macro backdrop supports continued expansion of AI infrastructure valuations. A sudden macro recession or regulatory crackdown on AI development.	Thread Guy Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? ...
Feb 10, 2026	BTC /ALTCOINS	AVOID	The speaker explicitly says, "Bitcoin kind of looks terrible" and "Alts look really terrible." He singles out specific tokens like Jupiter and Athena as having "unprecedented levels of down only." The market is bifurcated. Liquidity is trapped or leaving legacy assets, while only the specific "AI x Crypto" narrative is catching a bid. Holding broad market beta (generic alts or BTC) is dead money in this environment. AVOID. Capital preservation is preferred over holding stagnating majors. Bitcoin dominance could shift suddenly if macro conditions (rates/liquidity) change favorably.	Thread Guy Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? ...
Feb 10, 2026	BASE ECOSYSTEM	LONG	The speaker states, "There are some things that are happening that are exciting in crypto right now. And dude, they're just happening on Base." He contrasts this with the stagnation seen in other chains. Capital and attention are rotating from legacy chains and even Solana towards Base due to the proliferation of AI Agent projects (like Banker and Clanker) launching there. This concentration of innovation creates a flywheel effect for the Base ecosystem. LONG. Follow the developer and innovation migration. Base does not have a native token, so exposure must be through ecosystem assets which carry higher volatility.	Thread Guy Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? ...
Feb 10, 2026	BANKER	LONG	The speaker highlights "Banker" (Bankerbot) as the "Stripe for crypto wallets" for AI agents. He notes that agents cannot safely use credit cards due to security risks (prompt injection), making on-chain wallets essential. He cites data showing Banker revenue is $200k-$500k/day and it is becoming the default SDK for new agents. If the "Agentic Economy" thesis holds true—where AI agents autonomously transact—they require a secure, trustless financial layer. Banker creates a moat by handling private keys and complex transactions (text-to-onchain) that raw LLMs cannot do safely. As more agents launch, they will default to this infrastructure, driving volume and fees to the protocol. LONG. It is the "pick and shovel" play for the AI Agent meta. Smart contract risk or a competitor (like Privy) capturing the market share for agent wallets.	Thread Guy Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? ...
Feb 10, 2026	COIN /HOOD	AVOID	The speaker reviews the charts for crypto equities, noting Coinbase is "atrocious" (down ~67% from local highs) and Robinhood is down ~53%. He describes the charts as "broken." These assets are proxies for retail crypto engagement, which is currently low outside of the niche AI bubble. Without a broad retail return to crypto trading, these stocks lack the catalyst to reverse their downtrends. AVOID. The technical damage is severe and the fundamental driver (retail mania) is absent. A sudden, broad crypto market rally could trigger a short squeeze.	Thread Guy Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? ...
Feb 09, 2026	SKY /BANKER	LONG	Thread Guy mentions "Banker" is testing 100M market cap and is an AI agent actually generating revenue (fees). "Sky" is mentioned in chat as a top chart. Crypto markets are looking for the "best vehicle to long the Singularity." AI Agents on-chain (that hold wallets and execute transactions) are the crypto-native expression of the AI boom. LONG. High-beta play on the intersection of Crypto and AI. Extreme volatility; "sell the news" events; regulatory crackdowns on AI agents handling money.	Thread Guy WTF is crypto doing!? Are we BACK..? AI takin...
Feb 09, 2026	HIMS	SHORT/AVOID	Thread Guy notes HIMS stock is down 40% in 5 days following news that Novo Nordisk is suing them for making knockoff obesity medications. The company's recent growth was heavily reliant on the compounding pharmacy loophole for GLP-1s. A lawsuit from the patent holder (Novo) threatens their primary growth narrative and legitimacy. AVOID/SHORT. The fundamental growth story is broken by legal existential risk. Lawsuit settlement is favorable or dismissed.	Thread Guy WTF is crypto doing!? Are we BACK..? AI takin...
Feb 06, 2026	BTC /MSTR	LONG	Bitcoin bounced 12% off the lows ($60k range). Michael Saylor appeared on the MicroStrategy earnings call to explicitly address and dismiss "Quantum Computing" threats, stating they have a security plan. MSTR stock rallied ~26-35% off the lows. The market was looking for a "Daddy" figure to calm the panic. Saylor provided the necessary confidence ("Don't worry, kitten"). The "Quantum" narrative was the peak fear event; its dismissal by the largest holder marks a local bottom and a resumption of the "Super Cycle." LONG. The washout is complete; the "Quantum" overhang is removed. If Bitcoin loses the $60k level and spends time in the $50ks, the thesis is invalidated.	Thread Guy It’s NOT over!? Crypto is bouncing? - Market ...
Feb 06, 2026	LIGHTER	AVOID	ThreadGuy states the "Lighter/HYPE" chart is terrible. He compares Lighter’s model to Robinhood (Payment for Order Flow/bad execution) versus Hyperliquid’s upfront fee model. He admits he got "destroyed" trying to long Lighter. Competitive Disadvantage. In a market valuing real yield and revenue (HYPE), a competitor with a perceived inferior economic model and weaker price action is a "value trap." Capital is concentrating in the winner (HYPE). AVOID (or rotate into HYPE). Lighter could have a relief bounce, but the structural trend is lower vs. HYPE.	Thread Guy It’s NOT over!? Crypto is bouncing? - Market ...
Feb 06, 2026	ZEC	WATCH	ThreadGuy mentions "Bang bang on Zcash" and notes that Vitalik Buterin has been "bull posting" about Zcash (ZEC). Narrative Rotation. When a major industry figure (Vitalik) endorses a legacy coin during a market reset, it often triggers a rotation of capital into that specific asset ("The Vitalik Pump"). WATCH for momentum continuation. Privacy coins face regulatory headwinds; this may be a fleeting narrative pump.	Thread Guy It’s NOT over!? Crypto is bouncing? - Market ...
Feb 06, 2026	HYPE	LONG	During the Bitcoin crash to $60k, Hyperliquid (HYPE) held the $44 level and did not break down significantly. Weekly revenue is ~$30M compared to competitors at ~$10M. Relative Strength. When an asset refuses to drop during a market-wide panic, it indicates massive demand. HYPE is "decoupling" from BTC price action based on revenue fundamentals. It is acting as the "leader" of the recovery. LONG. Target implies "easy road" begins above $44. A broader market failure where BTC drags everything down regardless of revenue.	Thread Guy It’s NOT over!? Crypto is bouncing? - Market ...
Feb 05, 2026	HUBS /WDAY /NOW /CRM	SHORT	The host notes that SaaS stocks (Salesforce, ServiceNow, Workday, HubSpot) are down 40-70% and look like they are "falling off a cliff." He cites the "Crowding Out" effect: AI CapEx is draining the economy's dry powder. Every dollar invested in GPUs and AI infrastructure is a dollar taken away from traditional SaaS subscriptions. These companies are being "hollowed out like termites" as the market rotates capital from software to AI hardware/infrastructure. SHORT / AVOID. These legacy cloud names are the funding source for the new AI bubble. Oversold bounce if the rotation pauses or if AI monetization stalls.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is 63K!? Crypto is FINISHED? - Market...
Feb 05, 2026	SOL /ETH /BTC	LONG	Bitcoin has crashed from 97k to 63k in a straight line with zero bid. Sentiment is at "suicide watch" levels, similar to the FTX bottom in 2022. The host argues that market participants are reacting to price rather than fundamentals. If the "AI + Crypto" bubble thesis is valid for the next decade, this crash represents a "game selection" opportunity where simply surviving and buying the blood leads to outsized returns. The asset class is not dead; it is flushing leverage. LONG. Accumulate during extreme fear ("pick up dead bodies"). Bitcoin could be front-running a recession, meaning equities have not yet bottomed, which would drag crypto lower in the short term.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is 63K!? Crypto is FINISHED? - Market...
Feb 05, 2026	TSLA /AMZN /NVDA	WATCH	The host observes that while SaaS is dying, the "Mag 7" (Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla) are finally starting to look weak and "ready to fall off a cliff." Bitcoin is the liquidity canary. It crashed first. If Bitcoin is front-running the economy, the generals (NVDA, AMZN) are the next to fall as the recession narrative takes hold. WATCH / AVOID. Do not catch the falling knife until Bitcoin stabilizes, as these names have room to catch up to the downside. The "AI Bubble" continues unabated, and these stocks decouple from the broader economy.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is 63K!? Crypto is FINISHED? - Market...
Feb 04, 2026	XOM /CVX /XLE	WATCH	ThreadGuy analyzed the charts live. XLE (Energy ETF), Exxon, and Chevron have been ranging since 2022 and look identical technically—coiling for a breakout. If the "AI/Tech" trade unwinds (SaaS destruction), capital often rotates into value/commodities. The technical structure suggests a multi-year consolidation is nearing resolution to the upside. WATCH. Look for a confirmed breakout of the 2022-2025 range. Global recession crushing oil demand.	Thread Guy Crypto has CRASHED. Is it OVER? Will it bounc...
Feb 04, 2026	PLTR /DUOL /SAAS SECTOR /CRM	SHORT/AVOID	Since the release of Claude Code on Feb 24, 2025, software stocks are down minimum 15-20%. Mando states his team has already replicated paid SaaS tools using Claude Code and cancelled subscriptions. The market is realizing that "Seat-based" B2B software pricing models are obsolete. AI agents (like Claude) can replicate the utility of these platforms without the recurring revenue per user. This is a fundamental repricing of the entire sector. SHORT or AVOID. The "uncertainty" in this sector is structural, not cyclical. Oversold bounce; AI integration by these legacy companies stabilizes churn.	Thread Guy Crypto has CRASHED. Is it OVER? Will it bounc...
Feb 04, 2026	SOL	LONG	Sentiment is dead ("Infra is dead"). However, ThreadGuy posits that if "Agentic Commerce" (AI agents using crypto wallets) is real, it happens on Solana due to speed/cost. The market is pricing Solana as a "memecoin casino," ignoring the potential pivot to AI agent rails. If AI agents need to transact autonomously, they will use the most performant chain. LONG. A bet on the intersection of the AI bubble and Crypto utility. Solana is technically breaking down; "The FOMO App" (cross-chain trading) eroding L1 moats.	Thread Guy Crypto has CRASHED. Is it OVER? Will it bounc...
Feb 03, 2026	HYPE	LONG	The speaker is explicitly long HYPE (entries at 35 and 37). He notes it broke a key resistance level (35) with the highest volume since March 2025. While the rest of crypto is dumping, HYPE is the only asset benefiting from the "rotation to metals." Why? Because traders are using Hyperliquid as the venue to trade Silver, Gold, and Copper. It captures the fees and attention of the current volatility, acting as a hedge against the broader crypto downturn. Long as a "venue bet" on volatility. A drop below $30 invalidates the thesis (Max pain scenario is $18).	Thread Guy Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
Feb 03, 2026	BTC /ETH /SOL	AVOID	BTC is at 76k but looks "heavy." ETH looks "terrible." SOL looks "worse." The speaker notes that the "Trump Trade" narrative has soured, and Bitcoin is currently acting as "Epstein Beta" (correlated to US political instability). Bitcoin has failed to decouple from US political risk. With the Trump administration viewed as "extractive" (launching grift coins) rather than supportive, and the macro rotation favoring physical atoms (metals) over bits (crypto), there is no immediate bid for majors. Avoid until market structure repairs or decoupling occurs. A sudden "God Candle" driven by sovereign adoption or unexpected regulatory clarity.	Thread Guy Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
Feb 03, 2026	XAU	LONG	Silver volume hit 1.2 billion (massive), and Gold/Copper are "ripping." The speaker notes Chinese retail traders are aggressively speculating here. The "speculative hot ball of money" that usually pumps crypto or tech has moved to metals. This is not just a "debasement trade" but a "momentum/gambling trade." You follow the liquidity. Long (Momentum). The move is driven by leverage (Chinese retail), making it susceptible to sharp liquidation wicks (as seen in the anecdote about the trader losing 84%).	Thread Guy Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
Feb 03, 2026	SOFI /NVDA /MSFT /HOOD /LULU /COIN /MSTR /ADBE /GOOGL /V /DKNG /RBLX	SHORT	The speaker reviewed these charts individually and described them as "disgusting," "terrible," "scary," or "rolling over." He specifically notes Robinhood (HOOD) is down 43% since October highs and looks "fried." The macro backdrop is one of capital exhaustion ("no money left to buy assets") and institutional fear (Epstein files). If the SPY rolls over as the speaker fears, these high-beta, over-owned tech and consumer names have no support and are technically broken. Short / Avoid. These are the victims of the capital rotation into commodities. Federal intervention (Trump administration) forcing markets up to preserve optics.	Thread Guy Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
Feb 03, 2026	AI AGENT PROTOCOLS	WATCH	"Agent Commerce" is the next inevitable phase. AI agents will need to hold money (wallets) and spend money (stablecoins) to execute tasks. This is the intersection of AI and Crypto. While the current market is bearish, the only fundamental growth area is the infrastructure that allows AI to transact. Watch for protocols building "Agent Commerce" infrastructure. Early-stage technology with high failure rate.	Thread Guy Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
Feb 02, 2026	ZEC /XMR	LONG	ThreadGuy identifies privacy as the "most underpriced narrative in the world," noting the sector is worth only $15-20B. As geopolitical unrest and surveillance increase (Epstein files, K-shaped control), the fundamental need for private transactions grows. These assets likely trade as a high-beta proxy to Bitcoin but with higher asymmetry due to low valuations. LONG. A contrarian bet on the necessity of privacy in a surveillance state. Regulatory bans and delistings from centralized exchanges (CEXs) liquidity drying up.	Thread Guy Crypto is in TROUBLE.. and only ONE THING can...
Feb 02, 2026	HYPE	LONG	ThreadGuy states that Robinhood is "getting destroyed" and down significantly from ATHs, while Hyperliquid is capturing market share. Hyperliquid is successfully vampire-attacking traditional fintech by offering trading on assets people actually want (including metals and prediction markets) with better user experience. It is becoming the "winner take all" of the perp dex sector. LONG. It is displacing legacy retail trading venues. Regulatory crackdowns on decentralized derivatives platforms.	Thread Guy Crypto is in TROUBLE.. and only ONE THING can...
Jan 30, 2026	MOLT /BANKER	WATCH	"Moltbook is a social network for AI agents... The community created a Molt token on Base... Moltbook used Bankerbot to connect a wallet and claim the fees." This represents a "Netscape moment" for AI Agents. Since AI agents cannot open traditional bank accounts, they must use crypto rails (Banker) for commerce. Moltbook is the viral consumer layer (social media for bots), and Banker is the infrastructure layer (wallets for bots). These assets are proxies for the "Agentic Economy." WATCH (High Risk / Speculative). The speaker highlights the viral growth ($2.35m fees in 24h) but warns of the "soft endorsement" risk regarding the token's official status. The developer of Moltbook could disavow the community token; the trend could be a fleeting flavor-of-the-week similar to previous AI metas.	Thread Guy Crypto Trading is BACK! + Gold & Silver CRASH...
Jan 30, 2026	SILVER /GOLD	AVOID	"Silver just had its worst dump ever since the big bang... You don't really get a blow off the top without the snapback." The parabolic move in metals has broken. While Central Banks (sovereign money) are buying, the "long tail" of retail speculators has been liquidated. The momentum trade is dead, and the asset class is likely entering a consolidation or correction phase. AVOID. The volatility is too high and the trend is broken. Geopolitical escalation could reignite the flight to safety immediately.	Thread Guy Crypto Trading is BACK! + Gold & Silver CRASH...
Jan 30, 2026	BTC	LONG	"Silver is down 35% today... There was 10 trillion and some change dollars evaporated from gold... That same ball of [__] fusion nuclear fury can rotate from thing to thing." Bitcoin has been trading as a "synthetic short" on metals recently (inverse correlation). Now that the metals bubble has burst violently, the speculative retail liquidity that exited crypto for gold/silver is likely to rotate back into digital assets. The speaker explicitly mentions taking a "stab at a long" here based on this rotation thesis. LONG as a contrarian rotation trade following the metals crash. Bitcoin charts remain technically broken; if the metals crash is a liquidity crisis rather than a rotation, all assets including BTC could sell off.	Thread Guy Crypto Trading is BACK! + Gold & Silver CRASH...
Jan 30, 2026	BASE ECOSYSTEM	LONG	"This all AI [__] is happening on Base, not even happening on Pump Fun." Previous cycles focused on Solana (Pump.fun) for memecoins. The current viral narrative (AI Agents/Moltbook) is natively launching on Base. Volume and developer attention are shifting chains. To capture the AI-Crypto beta, one must be active on Base rather than Solana for this specific rotation. LONG the underlying ecosystem/chain where the viral innovation is occurring. Base does not have a native token (ETH beta), so exposure must be through specific ecosystem assets or ETH.	Thread Guy Crypto Trading is BACK! + Gold & Silver CRASH...
Jan 29, 2026	GOLD /COPPER /URANIUM /SILVER	LONG	ThreadGuy notes metals are "trading like meme coins" with massive volatility to the upside (Copper +11% in hours). Peter Schiff explains that central banks are aggressively dumping USD reserves for physical gold to escape US sanctions risk. This is not a standard inflation hedge; it is a geopolitical exit from the US Dollar system. Because the Trump administration has explicitly claimed Bitcoin as a "US Asset," foreign capital flight is funneling exclusively into physical commodities ("Atoms") rather than digital stores of value ("Bits"). LONG physical commodities and miners. This is the only asset class catching the "flight from safety" bid. A de-escalation of geopolitical tension or a sudden strengthening of the USD could cause a violent unwind of these "parabolic" moves.	Thread Guy The KreekCraft Interview - Exposing Roblox's ...
Jan 29, 2026	CRM / ADBE / MSFT	SHORT	Software stocks are getting "destroyed" (down ~47% YTD in this scenario). ThreadGuy attributes this directly to "AI fear off Claude Code." "Vibe coding" and AI agents allow users to bypass complex software interfaces. If AI writes the code and manages the workflow, the need for expensive, per-seat enterprise software licenses (Salesforce, Adobe) collapses. The market is pricing in terminal value risk for legacy SaaS. SHORT. The narrative has shifted from "AI helps software" to "AI replaces software." Oversold bounce or these companies successfully pivoting to monetize the AI agents themselves.	Thread Guy The KreekCraft Interview - Exposing Roblox's ...
Jan 29, 2026	SOL /BTC /ETH	AVOID	Bitcoin is trading at $83k (contextually low in this 2026 timeline) and forming lower highs. ThreadGuy states, "Crypto is not even part of the conversation" regarding the flight to safety. The narrative has broken. If the macro trade is "Sell US Exposure," and Bitcoin is now viewed as a proxy for the US (due to Trump's endorsement), Bitcoin suffers alongside US Treasuries rather than acting as a hedge against them. AVOID. The asset class lacks a clear narrative driver until the "Sell US" trade exhausts itself. A sudden reversal in US liquidity policy or a specific crypto-native catalyst (like a stablecoin bill passing) could trigger a short squeeze.	Thread Guy The KreekCraft Interview - Exposing Roblox's ...
Jan 29, 2026	HYPE	LONG	Amidst a broad crypto sell-off, ThreadGuy notes HYPE is the "only chart that looks impressive" and is printing higher lows. This is a "flight to quality" within the crypto ecosystem. When the general market (Beta) is weak, capital condenses into the few assets with genuine product-market fit and revenue (Alpha). Hyperliquid is acting as the idiosyncratic winner. LONG. Relative strength in a bear market is the strongest signal for leadership in the next bull run. If the broad crypto market capitulates further, HYPE will eventually be dragged down by correlation.	Thread Guy The KreekCraft Interview - Exposing Roblox's ...
Jan 28, 2026	WLD	LONG	News leaked that OpenAI is building a social network to combat bots and may use Worldcoin (WLD) orbs for biometric verification. WLD is currently trading at a $1.6B market cap. If it becomes the official identity layer for OpenAI's consumer products, the market is drastically undervaluing it compared to OpenAI's private valuation. It is the only liquid "OpenAI proxy" token. LONG. The speaker notes the asset is "disgustingly cheap" relative to the news magnitude. The "news" is based on leaks/rumors and may not materialize into a shipped product.	Thread Guy The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Cryp...
Jan 28, 2026	HOOD	LONG	Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev published a post-mortem on GameStop, arguing that the trading halts were due to T+2 settlement and the solution is real-time tokenized settlement on-chain. This signals a major strategic push by a retail giant to move equities onto blockchain rails. If Robinhood succeeds in lobbying for the "Clarity Act" and tokenization, they become the bridge between retail equity flows and crypto infrastructure. LONG. Bullish on the company's direction aligning with crypto adoption. Regulatory pushback from the SEC or failure of the Clarity Act to pass.	Thread Guy The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Cryp...
Jan 28, 2026	BTC	LONG	Gold is moving parabolically (up massive percentages for a $38T asset) while Bitcoin chops sideways. The "Tulip King" framework suggests Bitcoin acts as a decaying iron condor while metals rip. The trade is not to short Gold, but to wait for Gold to set a swing high. Historically, once Gold cools off, that liquidity rotates violently into Bitcoin. LONG. Accumulate spot, but expect stagnation until the Gold rally pauses. If the correlation breaks or Gold continues to suck all global liquidity without rotation, BTC could bleed further.	Thread Guy The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Cryp...
Jan 28, 2026	BANKER	WATCH	"Banker" (an AI agent coin on Base) is gaining traction with a new feature: a "skills repository" where if one agent learns a skill, all agents share it. This represents the "AI Agent" meta 2.0—moving from simple chat bots to self-improving, compounding on-chain entities. Smart money is circling this asset as the infrastructure play for on-chain AI. WATCH. The speaker does not hold yet but notes "smart people" are positioning here. extremely illiquid, high-risk "memecoin" territory on the Base network.	Thread Guy The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Cryp...
Jan 28, 2026	PUMP /HYPE	LONG	Hyperliquid (HYPE) is seeing massive volume ($1B on Silver pair in 24h) and deeper liquidity than Binance on BTC pairs. Pump.fun (PUMP) executed a $2.3M buyback in a single day, the highest since September. These assets represent "Ideology Coins" backed by massive revenue and buybacks. The thesis is that capital isn't flowing to "governance tokens" but to protocols that act as liquidity black holes and actively reduce supply. HYPE is winning the "TradFi on Crypto Rails" narrative. LONG. The speaker views these as the two strongest assets on-chain. HYPE has already pumped 70% in a week; chasing parabolic moves can lead to drawdowns.	Thread Guy The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Cryp...
Jan 27, 2026	ZEC	LONG	Zcash is up ~9% and trading with strength. This fits the "Ideology" side of the Barbell Thesis. If the market isn't buying revenue (HYPE), it wants pure ideology. Privacy is the core ideology of crypto, and ZEC is the repricing vehicle for that narrative. LONG. It is one of the three charts (alongside HYPE and PUMP) that Thread Guy identifies as signaling a market shift. Delistings from centralized exchanges due to privacy concerns.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is about to PUMP...? Crypto Onchain i...
Jan 27, 2026	SOL /PENGUIN	LONG	A viral TikTok meme ("The Penguin") launched on Solana and hit ~$150M market cap, generating six-figure profits for traders. As long as a viral internet meme can be tokenized on Solana and reach a $10M+ valuation, the "casino" is open. This activity drives SOL demand and proves "Product Market Fit" for crypto as the money of the internet. LONG. The success of PENGUIN signals that retail speculation is returning to Solana onchain markets. PVP (Player vs Player) market dynamics where liquidity rotates too fast to catch; rapid drawdowns in meme assets.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is about to PUMP...? Crypto Onchain i...
Jan 27, 2026	BTC	WATCH	Bitcoin price action looks "weak" compared to metals and is failing to reclaim key levels (94k/100k). While the host is long-term bullish, the short-term chart looks like a "blow-off top" failure rather than consolidation. It needs to reclaim 94k to invalidate the bearish structure. WATCH. Caution is warranted until specific price levels are reclaimed. Further breakdown below support levels; capital rotation into metals.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is about to PUMP...? Crypto Onchain i...
Jan 27, 2026	PUMP /HYPE	LONG	Pump.fun bought back $2M worth of their token yesterday (a record since Sept 2025). Hyperliquid (HYPE) is up ~20% with sustained volume, decoupling from the broader market. The market has realized that "governance tokens" are value-destructive. Capital is rotating aggressively into "Equity-like" tokens that perform autonomous, smart-contract-enforced buybacks using real revenue. HYPE and PUMP are the market leaders in this "Buyback/Revenue" narrative. LONG. Thread Guy has already sized into PUMP (front-running a technical breakout) and views HYPE as the leader of this new asset class. Regulatory crackdowns on tokens acting like securities/equities; "Rug pull" risk if revenue dries up.	Thread Guy Bitcoin is about to PUMP...? Crypto Onchain i...

Thread Guy — Crypto influencer, independent (82 trade ideas)